(IGF::OT::IGF) SCENARIO ANALYSIS FOR LANGLEY RESEARCH CENTER 1.0 INTRODUCTION NASA S LANGLEY RESEARCH CENTE…

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(IGF::OT::IGF) SCENARIO ANALYSIS FOR LANGLEY RESEARCH CENTER 1.0 INTRODUCTION NASA S LANGLEY RESEARCH CENTER (LARC) IS IN THE MIDST OF A STRATEGIC PLANNING EFFORT DESIGNED TO STRENGTHEN ITS LONG-TERM POSITION, ENSURING THAT IT CONTINUES TO MAKE SIGNIFICANT CONTRIBUTIONS IN RESEARCH, ENGINEERING AND SCIENCE LONG INTO THE FUTURE. LARC IS PLANNING AN OFFSITE MEETING WITH ITS SENIOR LEADERS IN MID-JANUARY 2014, AND IS SEEKING OUTSIDE SUPPORT TO PREPARE FOR THAT MEETING. IN THE PAST YEAR, A SCENARIO PLANNING EFFORT WAS CONDUCTED FOR NASA HEADQUARTERS THAT LARC WOULD LIKE TO APPLY TO ITS UNIQUE SITUATION. THE EFFORT FOR HEADQUARTERS LOOKED AT THE MACRO ENVIRONMENT, EXAMINING HOW ECONOMIC, POLITICAL, INTERNATIONAL, DEMOGRAPHIC, ENVIRONMENTAL, AND OTHER FACTORS COULD AFFECT THE FUTURE OF NASA AND ITS PROGRAMS. AN ANALYSIS OF THE POSSIBLE SCENARIOS TO NASA S POLICIES AND PLANS TO MAKE RECOMMENDATIONS THAT WOULD HELP THE AGENCY ACCELERATE POSITIVE FACTORS, AMELIORATE THE DANGERS, AND PREPARE CONTINGENCY PLANS TO ADDRESS EXTERNAL FORCES WERE APPLIED. 2.0 SCOPE THIS SOW DEFINES THE GOVERNMENT S REQUIREMENT TO DEVELOP A CUSTOMIZED SCENARIO ANALYSIS THAT APPLIES TO LARC. THE OBJECTIVE OF THIS EFFORT IS TO GAIN AN ARRAY OF POTENTIAL FUTURE PROSPECTIVE SCENARIOS AND SCENARIO IMPACTS PROJECTED TO THE YEAR 2035, IN ALIGNMENT WITH LARC S INTERNAL STRATEGIC PLANNING EFFORTS. 3.0 TASK STATEMENT IN ORDER TO MEET THE OBJECTIVE HEREIN AND BASED UPON AN IN-DEPTH UNDERSTANDING OF NASA LARC S CAPABILITIES, PROGRAMS, AND SHORT- AND LONG-TERM PLANS, AND IMPACTS OF ITS REGIONAL ENVIRONMENTAL PLANS (E.G., THE TIDEWATER REGIONAL ACTIVITIES, SUPPORTING CONTRACTOR COMMUNITY, PLANS BY OTHER FEDERAL ENTITIES IN THE REGION, GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES FOR THE WALLOPS FLIGHT FACILITY, ETC.), THE CONTRACTOR SHALL DEVELOP SPECIFIC SCENARIOS (MORE DETAILED THAN THE BROADER NASA HEADQUARTERS EFFORT) AS DETAILED BELOW AS WELL AS PROVIDE OPTIONS AND THEIR IMPACTS ON LARC S STRATEGIC PLANNING TO LARC LEADERSHIP IN THE JANUARY 2014 LEADERSHIP RETREAT. 3.1 LARC SCENARIO GENERATION AND ANALYSIS USING THE SCENARIO PLANNING ANALYSIS CONDUCTED FOR NASA HEADQUARTERS AS A FOUNDATION, AND ITS IN-DEPTH UNDERSTANDING OF LARC AND THE TIDEWATER REGIONS 20-YEAR PLANS, THE CONTRACTOR SHALL REFINE THE NASA HEADQUARTERS SCENARIO RESULTS TO APPLY SPECIFICALLY TO LANGLEY. THESE SCENARIOS SHALL BE MORE GRANULAR THAN THE BROADER HEADQUARTERS EFFORT: THE CONTRACTOR SHALL IDENTIFY THE SPECIFIC IMPACT TO THE CENTER OF THE BROAD DEMOGRAPHIC, POLITICAL, AND ECONOMIC ISSUES THAT WILL AFFECT THE AGENCY (AS IDENTIFIED IN THE NASA HEADQUARTERS FINDINGS), AND ADDITIONALLY SHALL ADDRESS HOW DEVELOPMENTS IN THE LANGLEY STAKEHOLDER COMMUNITY COULD HAVE POSITIVE, NEGATIVE, OR DISRUPTIVE INFLUENCE ON LANGLEY S STRATEGIC PLAN. TO ALIGN WITH LANGLEY S INTERNAL STRATEGIC PLANNING EFFORTS, THE CONTRACTOR SHALL ADDRESS A TIME HORIZON OF 2035 IN ITS ANALYSIS. 3.2 OPTIONS FOR LARC AND PRELIMINARY RECOMMENDATIONS THE CONTRACTOR SHALL OUTLINE A NUMBER OF SCENARIOS FOR LARC AND THE POTENTIAL IMPACT THESE MIGHT HAVE ON LARC S STRATEGIC PLAN. THE CONTRACTOR SHALL PROVIDE THE CENTER WITH A LARGE NUMBER (I.E., NO LESS THAN 6) OF OPTIONS AND WEIGH THE POTENTIAL IMPACT/OUTCOME OF THE CENTER S CHOICES. SOME FACTORS TO BE WEIGHED MAY INCLUDE THE: IMPACT OF MAINTAINING A DIVERSE PORTFOLIO OF CAPABILITIES VS. A SPECIALIZED AREA OF EXPERTISE; TRADEOFF BETWEEN AN EMPHASIS ON AERONAUTICS VS. SPACE; POTENTIAL EFFECT OF COMPETITION VS. COLLABORATION WITH OTHER NASA CENTERS; POSSIBLE IMPACT OF DEVELOPING NON-NASA BUSINESS; RE-ORGANIZATION INTO AN FFRDC OR OTHER NON-TRADITIONAL STRUCTURE; AND/OR RESULTS STEMMING FROM DIFFERENT WORKFORCE DECISIONS (E.G., OUTSOURCING VS. INSOURCING; INCREASED AUTOMATION OR ROBOTICS; AGGRESSIVE TELECOMMUTING VS. TRADITIONAL STAFFING; ETC.) THE OBJECTIVE IN THIS ANALYSIS AND THE PRELIMINARY RECOMMENDATIONS IS NOT TO RECOMMEND SPECIFIC SOLUTIONS. RATHER, IT IS TO P