Predictive Missile Sustainment and Reliability Capability

This effort will determine the feasibility of a concept for a predictive missile sustainment and reliability capability to determine what optimal sustainment decisions are possible for the ICBM missile fleet when prognostics information is merged with sustainment information. The Phase I research will produce a methodology, framework, and concept software tool that collects and fuses prognostics and sustainment data from a variety of sources in different formats with different content, produces sustainment decision data in the form of resource use, schedule, cost, and risk, and enables the user to view and modify sustainment actions at both the missile and fleet level to optimize sustainment decisions. The tool will provide insight into how prognostics can be leveraged in specific ways (such as acquisition lead times, workload balancing, and optimizing resource use) to determine the most cost-effective sustainment actions. A case study will be conducted to demonstrate the feasibility of the concept, and will show how the concept can be used with multiple data sources. The ultimate goal of this effort will be to demonstrate the feasibility of the predictive missile sustainment and reliability concept that satisfies the objectives and provides sufficient evidence to support further development in a Phase II effort.