Energy Models of Critical Components (E-MC2)

Operational Energy (OE) is the energy, associated systems, information, and processes required to train, move, and sustain forces and systems for military operations. Efficient OE requires effective management of energy and supply resources, including energy used by tactical power systems, generators and weapons platforms. Army Secretary Jon McHugh stated that “leaders and individuals at all levels must understand how energy contributes to their respective operational roles and consider it in planning decisions and daily behaviors.” To address these requirements, Charles River Analytics proposes to design and demonstrate the feasibility of Energy Models of Critical Components (E-MC2), a resource monitoring, energy prediction, and decision-support tool that uses probabilistic reasoning to construct and learn models of complex, real-world systems. Under E-MC2, we will build models of energy consumption and resource usage through Figaro™, a probabilistic programming language (PPL) developed by Charles River. Using E-MC2’s models, Leaders leaders in environments such as command posts will receive alerts and notifications relating to possible resource consumption issues. Leaders can also use E-MC2 as an aid to best plan and manage critical quantities, subject to anticipated operating constraints and external factors.