UAS Demand Generation and Airspace Performance Impact Prediction

The key innovation of this effort is the development of future traffic demand for Uninhabited Aerial Systems (UAS) given the various missions they intend to fly, and thereafter populating a data warehouse with these projected flights that can be marketed to the aviation community. We propose developing one flight demand set for each of twenty-five future years from the 2015 through 2040, incorporating nineteen of the proposed UAS missions (sixteen to be developed during Phase II and three already completed from the Phase I activity, for a total of 19 missions * 25 years = 475 demand sets available at the conclusion of the project). In developing these demand sets, we are capitalizing on new technologies prototyped and demonstrated in Phase I of this project, in which our team demonstrated that credible flight demand sets for UAS missions can be developed using a combination of socioeconomic modeling combined with techniques derived from the activity-based modeling community.