A Risk Reduction Process for Enhanced Mission Assurance

Advanced Core Technologies brings 3 advanced competencies together to identify, foster, and deploy technologies promising reliability enhancing materials and manufacturing innovations. Self-learning search methods, sophisticated information association techniques, and stochastic forecaasting enables the Technology Monitoring and Mapping Module (TM3) capable of 5, 10, and 20 year forecasts for probability of maturation, magnitude of reliability benefit, and mission assurance. Phase I provided the foundation for a proactive view and transition to a unique insight into the technology development cycle allowing decision makers to examine the Basic and Applied research environment for emerging solutions to specifically defined reliability issues. Phase I demonstrated the capability to Monitor the technology development environment, to Extrapolate from the Basic and Applied research community applicable findings, and to Model future Solution Scenarios providing insight into the degree of surety that a reliability issue will be adequately addressed within a defined period of time. The Phase II research is on identifying reliability driven requirements for technology development and the assessment and prioritization of impact on mission assurance based on estimates of consequence. The Phase II innovation product, the RVA sub-module will be developed and integrated with MEMSS. Phase II will deliver a working application to support the SM-3 production ramp-up funded to support the emerging BMDS system architecture. The deployed system will contribute greatly to meeting the cradle-to-grave part and material traceability required by PMAP Revision A. Together Phase I and II provide an ‘over-the-horizon’ view of the technology development and utilization phases of the technology lifecycle that stretches out up to 20 years.