Real-time Effects-Based Assessment (REBA) System

The US military is rapidly embracing the concept of Effects-Based Operations (EBO), beginning a transformation from current strategies based on attrition and annihilation of opponents through brute military force, to a methodology that employs any and all elements of national power (Diplomatic, Information, Military and Economic (DIME)) against enemy systems to achieve specific desired effects. As the US Air Force transforms to an effects-based form of operation, they require the ability to assess actions in light of their progress towards achieving the effects specified in the EBO plan. The DECISIVE ANALYTICS Corporation team proposes a novel solution that deploys our unique real-time Bayesian network software within a proven intelligent agent architecture to provide an automated Real-time Effects-Based Assessment (REBA) system. This effort will leverage an intelligent agent capability developed in support of Operation Iraqi Freedom and innovative Bayesian network techniques developed for the Missile Defense Agency to correlate and match observed actions and effects to success indicators in the EBO plan. Our approach will effectively accelerate the Joint Air Tasking Order (JATO) cycle by providing continuous assessment of actions with respect to their overall progress towards achieving desired effects.