IMPROVED ORDNANCE LIFE-CYCLE AFFORDABILITY DEFINITION WITH EXTENDED TIME-FRAME INVENTORY CAPABILITY IMPLICATIONS

AN URGENT NEED OF EXPLORATORY DEVELOPMENT PLANNING AND ASSESSMENTS IS EARLY PROJECTION OF ORDNANCE TECHNOLOGY PRODUCTS' LIFE-CYCLE COSTS AND FUTURE INVENTORY CAPABILITY EFFECTS. A MODEL IS NEEDED OF QUANTIFY PROJECTIONS OF FUTURE INVENTORY CAPABILITY DEGRADATION. A POM+15 YEAR PROJECTION METHODOLOGY IS PROPOSED WHICH COUPLES ORDNANCE LIFE-CYCLE COSTS WITH HISTORICAL INVENTORY DEGRADATION CONCEPTS TO ENABLE EVENTUAL LINKING OF RDT&E TECHNOLOGY PRODUCT LIFE-CYCLE COSTS, INVENTORY CAPABILITY DEGRADATION, AND FUNCTIONAL PERFORMANCES TO NAVAL FORCES CAPABILITY. THIS PROPOSAL EXAMINES THE EXPLORATORY DEVELOPMENT TECHNOLOGY ARENAS ASSOCIATED WITH SURFACE-TO-AIR MISSILES AND TORPEDOES TOGETHER WITH HISTORICAL FYDP/POM DEVELOPMENT/ACQUISITIONS BUDGET COSTS FOR PROJECTING POTENTIAL LIFE-CYCLE COSTS OF FUTURE CONFIGURATIONS. CONCURRENT WITH THAT COST EFFORT, REGRESSION ANALYSIS INVENTORY CAPABILITY DEGRADATION PROJECTIONS FOR SURFACE-TOAIR MISSILES AND/OR TORPEDOES WILL BE GENERATED. ONE OR MORE SAMPLE SURFACE-TO-AIR MISSILE/TORPEDO ORDNANCE FAMILIES WILL THEN BE PROCESSED THROUGH THE MODEL AFFORDABILITIES/DEGRADATION/UTILITY SYSTEM ARCHITECTURE TO DEMONSTRATE MODEL FEASIBILITY AND POTENTIAL USEFULNESS AT THE EXPLORATORY DEVELOPMENT RDT&E LEVEL.