NEW TNF SURVIVABILITY CONCEPTS DRIVEN BY THE ONGOING DEMOCRATIZATION OF EASTERN EUROPE

THIS STUDY WILL RESEARCH, ANALYZE, AND ASSESS NEW CONCEPTS FOR THE SURVIVABILITY OF THE TNF WHICH WILL BE REQUIRED IN THE NEAR FUTURE AS A RESULT OF THE ONGOING PROCESS OF DEMOCRATIZATION OF THE COUNTRIES OF EASTERN EUROPE. THE MOST LIKELY POLITICAL DEVELOPMENT OVER THE NEXT 10 YEARS WILL BE THE STEADY MOVE TOWARD DEMOCRACY BY THESE COUNTRIES. AS A RESULT, THERE WILL BE A STEADY REDUCTION IN MILITARY FORCES. ALSO, BECAUSE OF THE STRONG RESERVATIONS HELD BY WEST GERMANY AGAINST A STRATEGY BASED ON THE THREAT OF EXTENSIVE USE OF SHORT RANGE NUCLEAR WEAPONS, AND BECAUSE OF THE EFFORTS TO REUNIFY EAST AND WEST GERMANY, IT IS HIGHLY LIKELY THAT NUCLEAR WARHEADS WILL BE BANNED IN CENTRAL EUROPE. NEVERTHELESS, BECAUSE OF THE AVAILABILITY OF THESE WEAPONS IN THE USSR, AT ONLY RELATIVELY SHORT DISTANCES FROM CENTRAL EUROPE, THE MAINTENANCE OF A NUCLEAR BALANCE WILL STILL REQUIRE THE AVAILABILITY OF TNF WEAPONS ABLE TO BE REPOSITIONED BACK INTO CENTRAL EUROPE ON A TIME SCHEDULE AT LEAST EQUIVALENT TO THAT OF THE SOVIETS. NEW NON-CENTRAL EUROPE BASING AND TRANSPORTATION CONCEPTS WILL BE CONFIGURED AND ANALYZED WHICH CAN ACCOMPLISH THIS. THE NEED FOR NEW SYSTEMS TYPES WILL ALSO BE EVALUATED.