PREDICTION RESOURCES

THE PROPOSED RESEARCH WILL DELINEATE IN DETAIL THE INFORMATION CAPABILITY AND POTENTIAL OF THE NATIONAL WEATHERSERVICE AND WILL DEVELOP THE SPECIFIC INFORMATION REQUIREMENTS OF THE PRIVATE INDUSTRIAL SECTOR FOR WATER MANAGEMENT UTILIZING TO THE FULLEST EXTENT INFORMATION AVAILABLE FROM THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT PREDICTION SERVICES OFTHE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. THE INFORMATION WILL INCLUDE,BUT IS NOT RESTRICTED TO, THE NEW EXTENDED STREAM FLOW PREDICTION (ESP) FORECAST SYSTEM. PHASE I RESEARCH, WHICH IS SUMMARIZED IN THIS PROPOSAL, IS A PILOT SCALE EFFORT WHICH, IF SUCCESSFUL, WILL LEAD TO A FULL SCALE BASINWIDE INVESTIGATION (PHASE II) DETERMINING THE USEFULNESS AND FEASIBILITY OF THE FEDERAL GOVERNMENT PREDICTION SERVICES TOCOMPLEMENT AND SUPPORT INDUSTRY BY ENHANCING ITS ABILITY TO UTILIZE IN A TIMELY MANNER THE INFORMATION AVAILABLE. AT THECOMPLETION OF PHASE II RESEARCH, MANY OPPORTUNITIES FOR PRIVATE INVESTMENT WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THE AREA OF DATA ANALYSIS, GENERATING NEW INFORMATION FROM EXISTING DATA AND INFORMATION DELIVERY, TRANSMITTING THE INFORMATION TO THE CLIENT INDUSTRIES. THE POTENTIAL COMMERCIAL APPLICATION AS DESCRIBED BY THE AWARDEE: IF THE PHASE I & II PROJECTS ARE SUCCESSFUL, IT IS ANTICIPATED THAT NEW AND EXPANDED PRIVATELY-OWNED FLOW PREDICTION AND ANALYSIS SERVICES WILL EVOLVE WHICH WILL UTILIZE EXISTING DATA AND MODELS OF THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND PRIVATELY-DEVELOPED MODELS TO GENERATE SPECIFIC INDUSTRY-ORIENTED FLOW INFORMATION FOR THOSE INDUSTRIES WHICH ARE HIGHLY SENSITIVE TO AND/OR DEPENDENT UPON FLOW CONDITIONS. IN ADDITION, SELECTED INDUSTRIES WILL LIKELY DEVELOP INHOUSE CAPABILITIES TO ACCESS, UTILIZE, AND INTERPRET NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DATA FOR THEIR OWN SPECIFIC ECONOMIC BENEFITS.