Battle Damage Prediction

In order to assist the Battle Damage Assessment (BDA) operator in performing timely damage estimates for physical and functional damage assessment, Aurora Simulation Inc. proposes to develop an Automatic Battle Damage Prediction System (ABDPS), which will have the following features: ABDPS will not only predict physical damage and functional damage independently, but will also predict the coupling of physical damage and functional damage. The terms of the functional damage model and the Electronic Warfare (EW) Model will be used interchangeably. For the EW models this study will concentrate on the Radar Detection Model and Electronic Counter Measure (ECM) Model. Since the outcome of a battle will be dependent on both the probability of kill (physical damage model) and the probability of detection (EW model). Therefore these models need to be coupled to provide accurate battle damage predictions. The system will be 100% compatible with different computer platforms (PC, workstation, super computer) and operating systems (Windows 95, NT, Unix, VMS, etc). Since the system will be an object-oriented software, the maintenance costs of the software will be low, and the models can be replaced in a plug-and-play style. BENEFITS: The proposed work will integrate the existing physical and functional damage models into one automated system, so the battle damage prediction will become an automatic, timely, and accurate operation. The technology of the system would be applicable to generating physical damage estimates for any type of natural or man-made destruction, as well as, functional damage associated with the physical damage for which predictive models exist. The ABDPS will not only benefit the BDA operator; it will also enhance mission planning, training, and weapon system evaluation