DEVELOPMENT OF A MODEL FOR THE SYSTEM EFFECTIVENESS EVALUATION OF ADVANCED BASING CONCEPTS

ACTA INC., USING KARAGOZIAN AND CASE AS A SUBCONTRACTOR, PROPOSES TO DEVELOP SPECIFICATIONS AND A COMPUTER PROGRAM WHICH CAN BE USED IN THE EVALUATION OF THE SYSTEM EFFECTIVENESS OF VARIOUS CANDIDATE ADVANCED BASING CONCEPTS. ACTA WILL MAKE USE OF SOFTWARE (ASTEP) WHICH IT HAS ALREADY DEVELOPED AS A BASIS FOR A PROGRAM WHICH CAN BE DELIVERED AT THE END OF PHASE I. THE PROGRAM CONCEPT WILL BE MODULAR AND FILE ORIENTED. IT WILL TAKE ADVANTAGE OF AN INNOVATIVE HYBRID ANALYTIC-MONTE CARLO TECHNIQUE WHICH SIGNIFICANTLY REDUCES COMPUTER SPACE REQUIREMENTS. IT WILL ALSO USE AN ACTA DEVELOPED "CONNECTIVELY ALGORITHM" THAT ADDS SIGNIFICANTLY TO THE CAPABILITY WHILE REDUCING THE SIZE OF THE SYSTEM FAILURE ANALYSIS PROBLEM. FRAGILITY AND STRUCTURAL RESPONSE MODELS WILL BE DEVELOPED FOR THOSE ELEMENTS (E.G. POTALS, SILOS AND SHALLOW TUNNELS) WHICH ARE NOT ALREADY PROGRAMMED AND AVAILABLE AT ACTA. THE PROGRAM WILL BE DESIGNED TO OPERATE ON A SMALL COMPUTER (IBM PC/AT). THE WORK WILL ALSO INCLUDE SPECIFICATION DEVELOPMENT FOR A FULL BASING SYSTEM EFFECTIVENESS MODELL (UTILIZING THE USAF AVAILABILLITY, DEPENDABILITY AND CAPABILITY DEFINITION) AND A COST EFFECTIVENESS MODEL.