Linking Output Activity to Outcomes/Impacts in Complex Contingency Environments

As the U.S. Government increases participation in post-conflict Stabilization and Reconstruction Operations (SARO) around the globe, the ability to understand the relationships between task completion and mission completion is critical. The US Government employs a metrics tool developed though the Monitoring Progress in Conflict Environments project. The objective of this Phase II STTR is to provide S/CRS analysts and USG Interagency partners with additional capability to conduct analysis and establish clear interdependencies between activities, tasks, and the desired outcomes. Seasoned scholar practitioners will support the refinement of the analysis framework and maximize synergy between task outputs to mission outcomes and impact to enable more effective SARO planning activities. The data fusion framework to link task progress to the end-state via the integration of multiple data sources will be built on an infrastructure initiated by investments from Missile Defense, Navy and Air Force offices to provide robust decision traceability during acquisition decisions. The Phase I proof-of-concept demonstrated ability to establish task linkage based on Social Science Theory and update the trajectory based on correlation analysis. User feedback confirmed preliminary requirements associated with prototype development. The Phase II program will result in a prototype tool and validate its operation and use concept.