Undersea Acoustic Risk Analysis Decision Aid for Theater Anti-Submarine Warfare (TASW) Mission Planning

In a high op-tempo, multi-threat environment within the Theatre Anti-Submarine Warfare (TASW) Watchfloor, the Planners, usually the Future Ops (FUOPS) cell, requires an assessment of the risk to future TASW operations based on the assessed threat according to the Most Likely/Most Dangerous Course Of Actions (MLCOA/MDCOAS) of OPFOR forces.TASW Planners require Risk Analysis Mission Planning capability in order to “see” and “assess” the full impact of the risk involved to future operations in a high op-tempo, multi-threat environment.In the innovative approach envisioned, the Risk Analysis Decision Aid will be able to assess the normalized residual risk, a measure of probability of OPFOR mission success for all detected TASW targets that are NOT deemed mitigated by TASW sensors in the Future Plan, as a visual aid to TASW Planners.The approach leverages proprietary software with most of both the framework in place as well as the necessary models and databases needed for technical proof of concept and capability demonstration within the Phase I Base Period, and a Phase II plan to deliver a COTS prototype for incorporating Risk Analysis into AN/UYQ-100 USW-DSS within the Phase I Option Period.