Intercept Debris Modeling for Non Hit-to-Kill Missile Engagements

The objective of the proposed effort is to develop an approach for fast-running modeling of intercept debris initial characteristics from non hit-to-kill (NHTK) missile defense engagements. The benefit of this capability is realistic debris truth modeling for NHTK engagements to support a variety of MDA element and Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS) Modeling & Simulation (M&S) frameworks and use cases to complement the existing capability for hit-to-kill (HTK) engagements. This HTK debris capability features the MDA Kinetic Impact Debris Distribution (KIDD) model [1], which we develop for MDA as part of the Core Lethality Model (CLM) Program. Our approach to NHTK debris modeling includes (1) enhancing existing fragment and blast models in the Parametric Endo/Exoatmospheric Lethality Simulation (PEELS) [2], which we develop for MDA as part of the CLM Program; and (2) developing a new NHTK debris model leveraging the KIDD model where appropriate to address NHTK debris. For Phase I we propose using a combination of PEELS results for NHTK engagements, NHTK test data, and NHTK first-principle code results to determine modeling priorities and develop conceptual models for addressing these priorities. Commercialization applications include NHTK interceptor program offices, BMDS M&S framework program offices and stakeholders and associated contractors. Approved for Public Release | 16-MDA-8917 (15 November 16)