Intercept Debris Modeling for Non Hit-to-Kill Missile Engagements

The objective of the proposed effort is to develop an initial capability for fast-running modeling of intercept debris initial characteristics from non hit-to-kill (NHTK) missile defense engagements. This capability will support realistic debris truth modeling for NHTK engagements for a variety of MDA Element and Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS) Modeling & Simulation (M&S) frameworks and intended uses to complement the existing capability for hit-to-kill (HTK) engagements. This HTK debris capability features the MDA Kinetic Impact Debris Distribution (KIDD) model, which we develop for MDA as part of the Core Lethality Model (CLM) Program. Our approach to NHTK debris modeling includes (1) enhancing existing fragment models in the Parametric Endo/Exoatmospheric Lethality Simulation (PEELS), which we develop for MDA as part of the CLM Program; and (2) developing a new NHTK debris model leveraging the KIDD model where appropriate to address NHTK debris. For Phase II we propose using a combination of PEELS results for NHTK engagements, NHTK test data, and NHTK first-principle code results to develop an initial capability for fast-running modeling of NHTK debris. Approved for Public Release | 18-MDA-9522 (23 Feb 18)