Statistically Significant Simulation (SSS) of the Ballistic Missile Defense System (BMDS)

ISSAC Corp and subcontractor RTSync Corporation propose to develop a Statistically Significant Simulation (SSS) capability. The ISSAC Team SSS capability will comprise an ontology organizing an extensible family of M&S tools composable to meet on-demand the needs and Intended Uses of stakeholder users. The SSS ontology will include a hierarchical structure of composable real-world and model-world BMDS M&S components. The SSS ontology will also contain the rules by which the ontology may be pruned to create an executable SSS instance. The SSS will offer both physics- and effects-based tools balancing resolution and run-time to meet user needs. The SSS will include automation aids enabling SMEs to validate an executable SSS instance, as well as to validate emergent system behavior suggested by SSS runs. A CONOPS product will include SSS roles in Tier 1, 2 and 3 BMDS M&S-based assessments, SSS validation, Effects-Based Component development and SSS user processes. A SSS Conceptual Model product will include SysML Requirements, Structure, Behavior and Parametrics diagrams. A SSS Capability Road-map product will establish technical-criteria-based milestones for SSS capability increment development, and capture technical risks and mitigation strategies for SSS Phase II and subsequent development. Approved for Public Release 14-MDA-8047 (14 Nov 14)