Human Performance Modeling in the Naval Capabilities Development Process

The overall objective of this work is to create a model of the decision process in C4I that will integrate human decision making analyses into NCDP assessment processes In Phase I, a model of the human decision process will be developed, and algorithms required to use that model to evaluate human performance, will be specified. This proposal integrates and extends three tested methodologies for defining performance and estimating the effect of performance-shaping factors on mission performance. The first methodology (Link and Node Analysis) identifies where human activity occurs in a mission thread (the Nodes) and how information is distributed between those nodes (the Links). The second methodology, a model of the human decision-making process, specifies what happens within a node and identifies factors that effect human performance. The third methodology, model-based simulation, allows us to use the extensive existing literature on human performance capabilities to estimate the effect of those performance-shaping factors on process outcomes. The final product of this Phase I research will be a descriptive model of the human-decision making process that can be used to drive a simulation of overall system performance and to assess the impact of various performance-shaping factors on that performance.