Anticipatory Capabilities for Complex, Dynamic Environments

Our objective is to create the technology foundation to anticipate and thwart adversary planning and action, by creating valid models of adversary capacities and tendencies, and delivering these models in the form of (adversary) planning operators. We will emphasize rapid development of plausible, high-impact adversary plans (as a function of the current situation), and also the adversary’s potential to adapt those plans so that they specifically exploit identifiable weaknesses in friendly habits and doctrine. Phase I research will fully specify an anticipatory and counter-planning technology, to be implemented in Phase II, for this purpose. In essence, valid models of adversary practices will be automatically simulated, and simulation results will be automatically converted to planning operators (nominally, STRIPS-like). During Phase I we will also develop a proof-of-concept demonstration of the methodology and technology. Finally, we will design a validation experiment, to be conducted during Phase II, to demonstrate the technology and its value in for counter-planning.