Vulnerabilty Assessment and Prioritization Methodology (VAPM)

This project will develop and deploy a comprehensive force protection vulnerability analysis process that accommodates diverse and large geographic areas, public events, infrastructure interdependencies, attacker goals, means, and methods, and defender priorities. This process will be based on the Vulnerability Assessment and Prioritization Methodology (VAPM) originally developed and applied to domestic homeland security assessments. While VAPM addresses the issues identified by DARPA, it currently requires significant effort by diverse subject matter experts to drive the process, capture the data, analyze results, and develop recommendations. Automated reasoning support of the cognitive tasks required to apply VAPM is necessary to facilitate more widespread utilization, reduce workload, thereby enabling robust, actionable predictive intelligence for threat avoidance and mitigation. Phase I will produce a detailed design to make VAPM less human expert intensive and facilitate its deployment across military bases and provide a proof-of-concept demonstration. Feasibility of the design and results will be evaluated by military personnel.