Predictive Analysis Tools for PBA/IPB:Automated Course of Action Modeling

Zel Technologies proposes an important subset of the full capabilities requested in this topic. We offer to augment Joint Intelligence Preparation of the Battlespace (JIPB) tools, Automated Assistance to IPB (A2IPB) and Intelligence Preparation of the Information Battlespace (IPIB), with a capability for automatic modeling of Courses of Action. Currently, COA development entails substantial manual analyst effort, to the extent that the labor requirement is the main user complaint about JIPB tools. We propose to demonstrate the feasibility of automated production of COA models by treating a variety of JIPB domains as complex networks, inserting topological network penetration analysis algorithms developed by George Mason University's Center for Secure Information Systems to expand and instantiate enemy sub-goals in effects-based COAs, and remapping the resulting topological attack graphs back into Attack Trees and COA scenarios in A2IPB and/or IPIB.