EXLOG21: An Innovative DSS-based Expeditionary Logistics Tool

"21st Century Systems, Inc. (21CSI) proposes to continue its research and realization of an agent-based decision support system, EXLOG21, for logistics and maintenance operations. In Phase I we researched the base theoretical underpinnings for expeditionarylogistics and constructed a convincing autonomic logistics (AL) system prototype (interfaced to a notionally simulated subset of an instrumented vehicle). Motivated by the AL problem for instrumented vehicles, 21CSI would continue the research, design, anddevelopment of EXLOG21. EXLOG21 will assist the CSS logistics planner achieve his mission of generating focused and tailored logistics support to the expeditionary forces within the Area of Operations (AO). Fully developed, EXLOG21 will make use of ourinnovative hybrid Bayesian Probability networks and Game-Theoretic approach, in order to estimate the failure probabilities of the numerous systems and subsystems down to the component level. The resulting theory and technology will facilitate logisticsand maintenance operations by addressing such practical problems as tradeoff evaluation for onboard sparing and prepostioned replenishments, predictive failure analysis for corrective maintenance actions, and real-time reevaluation and adjustment oflogistics planning packages. 21CSI fully expects this effort to culminate in both a substantial new applied theory and a revolutionary advancement in the way computers are used to solve ship