PREDICTED TACTICS OF ADVERSARIES

THE PROPOSED PROJECT IS TO DEVELOP A DATABASE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM WHICH WILL ESTIMATE THE PROBABLE TACTICS AND INTENTIONS OF AN ADVERSARY SURFACE, AIRBORNE, OR SUBMARINE TARGET. THIS SYSTEM WILL CONSIST OF ROUTINES TO (1) ACCESS A DATABASE OF POTENTIAL ENEMY TACTICS AND INTENTIONS, (2) CREATE THESE TACTICS AND INTENTIONS ENTRIES BY SOPHISTICATED AUTOMATED AND MANUAL METHODS, AND (3) ESTIMATE THE PROBABLE TACTICS AND INTENTIONS OF TARGETS BASED ON CURRENT INTELLIGENCE AND OTHER TACTICAL DATA. THIS INFORMATION ON PROBABLE ENEMY TACTICS AND INTENTIONS WILL THEN BE FED INTO A SYSTEM WHICH WILL PREDICT TARGET LOCATION AND PRODUCE RECOMMENDED SEARCH AND SURVEILLANCE PLANS. IN PHASE I WEWILL WRITE A DEFINITIVE PAPER STUDY DESCRIBING THE RECOMMENDED DESIGN FOR THIS SYSTEM AND DEMONSTRATING ITS FEASIBILITY. IN PARTICULAR, WE WILL DISCUSS DATA SOURCES AND ALGORITHM AND INTERFACE DESIGN. THIS WILL PREPARE FOR PHASE II, IN WHICH A PROTOTYPE FULL SCALE SYSTEM WILL BE DEVELOPED. IN PHASE III, WE INTEND TO INTEGRATE IT INTO AN OPERATIONAL NAVY TARGET LOCALIZATION AND SEARCH AND SURVEILLANCE PLANNING SYSTEM. IN THIS PROJECT WE WILL USE TECHNIQUES FROM THE SURFACE SEARCH AND SURVEILLANCE PLANNING SYSTEM (SSPS) AND THE PACSEARCH HISTORICAL ANALYSIS DATABASE MANAGEMENT SYSTEM TO MODEL AND ANALYZE TARGET TACTICS.