Probabilistic Insights

This proposal aims to establish a weather intelligence platform tailored specifically for the Department of Defense (DoD), which will aid both forecasters and operators in making informed decisions that can enhance mission success probability. In particular, Tomorrow.io will demonstrate the feasibility of the research and development required to develop the requisite technical capabilities needed by the DoD. This will include the weather forecasting capabilities of a specific model as well as the product tech development to use that model for operational decisions.   The proposed approach involves integrating the GALWEM model into our weather engine and subsequently segmenting it from other models utilized in the technology stack. The GALWEM model will be utilized to generate probabilistic outcomes, providing operators with insights into the level of forecast confidence, in addition to the weather forecast itself. Furthermore, we intend to create a library of user defined assets and infrastructure, which can be linked to weather insights. This will facilitate the development of usable weather thresholds for determining go/no-go decisions or risk management considerations for specific assets, locations, and weather conditions.   When the weather science is coupled with the insights, it will build out a technical framework for commands to get valuable weather information on Tactics, Techniques, and Procedures (TTPs) and ultimately be able to train and fight accordingly. This will help with friendly and enemy assets and can be used by a meteorologist or an operator.