Fast On-line Prediction of Aircraft State Trajectories using Integrated Information (FORECAST-II)

SSCI and RDR Tec propose to develop and implement an on-board Fast On-line pREdiCtion of Aircraft State Trajectories using Integrated Information (FORECAST II) system, as a part of a future comprehensive Integrated Collision Avoidance System (ICAS). The main feature of the FORECAST II system is that it will be based on quantification of uncertainty arising from the use of an on-board radar, and due to unanticipated motion of a threat aircraft. The proposed system will minimize false alarms and missed detections and facilitate timely decision-making regarding the implementation of avoidance maneuvers or deconfliction strategies. In Phase I the FORECAST II system will be tested on simplified dynamic models of an onboard radar and MQ-8B Firescout unmanned autonomous helicopter. In the base period of Phase I the focus will be on problem formulation, development of a state estimation and prediction models, FORECAST II design and implementation, and initial performance evaluation, while in the option period further performance testing will be carried out.