Modeling Human Decision Making and Agent-Based Modeling of C3 Architectures in Warfare Assessment Models - MP 113-07

Constructive Warfare Assessment Models are used by the OPNAV N81 Assessments to support budget planning decisions for future Navy programs. These models simulate approved Major Combat Operations and Global War on Terrorism scenarios that often span days to weeks, cover multiple warfare areas, and that attempt to capture details of tactics, CONOPS, threat behavior, weather, coalition forces' contributions, and equipment performance. One area that has been lacking in validity is command and control and tactics execution - areas that require modeling of human decisionmaking in a military context. It is not possible to separate the human decisionmakers and operators from equipment performance; instead, better representations of the humans-in-the-loop must be developed to capture true systems performance. This SBIR proposal provides examples from recent warfare assessment modeling of poor representation of human decisionmaking and proposes methods for improved simulation of these phenomena leveraging innovative uses of agent-based simulation.